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Unit pricing

HVAC Replacement cost per ton of cooling capacity in Modesto

HVAC Replacement cost per ton of cooling capacity in Modesto, California in 2026.

Low

$5,500

Average

$9,200

High

$18,000

Modesto crews quote about $1,800 – $2,800 per ton of cooling capacity.

Multiply local unit rates by your real measurements.

What drives hvac replacement prices in Modesto

Local labor, permitting and climate move Modesto prices away from the national average.

Labor market

Modesto labor rates sit close to the national average.

Permits

City permits apply to structural, roofing and fence work.

Climate

Valley heat drives cooling loads in summer.

Modesto unit pricing by material

Central air conditioner$4,000 – $9,000
Gas furnace$3,500 – $7,500
Heat pump$5,500 – $12,000
Ductless mini-split$3,000 – $10,000
Geothermal$18,000 – $45,000

Ways to lower your Modesto price

  • Replace in spring or fall — mid-summer emergency swaps carry a 10–20% premium.
  • Claim the 25C federal tax credit: up to $2,000 for a qualifying heat pump, $600 for AC or furnace.
  • Check your utility's rebate portal; many add $500–$1,500 on high-efficiency equipment.
  • Right-size with a Manual J load calculation — oversized systems cost more and short-cycle.
  • Don't over-buy SEER in mild climates; the payback can exceed the equipment's life.

Modesto questions

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